As The UK Heatwave Dissipates, The Forces Are Marshalling for Next Year..

The El Niño event that is developing over the Pacific Ocean is likely to be the strongest in living memory, the Met Office has warned. The powerful natural climate phenomenon pushes up global temperatures and can increase the risks of extreme weather. Added to the effects of human-induced climate change, the Met Office is warning that it is "very likely" to mean 2027 is the hottest year on record.

I'd be worried, if I didn;t remember all the forecasts the Met Office made that didn't materialise.... 

There is growing evidence that weather patterns around the world are already being affected, with below-average monsoon rains in India and suppressed hurricane activity in the Atlantic Ocean. El Niño could put the UK at greater risk of a wet, stormy autumn.

Given monsoons and hurricanes kill people, isn't that rather a good thing? And a wet stormy Autumn is a typical season in the UK, isnt it? 

"We should be clear that this is an unprecedented event", said Prof Adam Scaife, head of long-range forecasting at the UK Met Office. "I have never seen an El Niño signal this intense in our forecasts."

Well, we'll see.  

Danger, Danger Will Robinson!

Amber heat health alerts are in place across southern and eastern England, with a heatwave set to develop in the coming days. Temperatures are set to climb above 30C (86F) on Friday, possibily up to 32C (90F) in south-east England, and potentially up to 34C (93F) or higher by Tuesday.

We used to call this 'summer', didn't we?

The UK Health Security Agency (UKHSA) has issued amber alerts covering the east, south-east and south-west of England, which are valid until 20:00 BST on Tuesday. Yellow alerts are valid across the Midlands during the same period.Amber heat health alerts are issued when high temperatures are likely to have a significant impact on health and social care services.

It will be a different story for Scotland and Northern Ireland with outbreaks of heavy rain.

That’s the sort of British summer that they are more used to.